OH 5073 · CLT → SBN

departs 10:27 PM ET · arrives 12:22 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

SBN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5073 · CLT → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?