Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5147 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5147 · DCA → CVG

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.06 in

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5147 · DCA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?