Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5147 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5147 · DCA → CVG

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DCA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5147 · DCA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?