Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5164 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5164 · DCA → CRW

departs 5:23 PM ET · arrives 6:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at CRW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRW?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
33%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.34 in

CRW (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5164 · DCA → CRW

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRW?