Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5164 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5164 · DCA → CRW

departs 5:23 PM ET · arrives 6:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at CRW more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRW?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DCA that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3.8 mi Precipnone

CRW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5164 · DCA → CRW

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRW?