OH 5164 · DCA → CRW

departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 4:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CRW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CRW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.45 in

CRW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5164 · DCA → CRW

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRW?