Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5547 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5547 · DCA → JAX

departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 10:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAX?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.13 in

JAX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5547 · DCA → JAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAX?