Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5547 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5547 · DCA → JAX

departs 8:01 PM ET · arrives 10:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAX?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at JAX that day

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ JAX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility0.666667 mi Precipnone

JAX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5547 · DCA → JAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAX?