OH 5584 · CLT → BHM

departs 5:37 PM ET · arrives 6:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5584 · CLT → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?