Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 3686 · MSP → DLH
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 3:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DLH more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DLH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DLH?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DLH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.