tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 283 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 283 · MSP → IAH

departs 5:42 PM CT · arrives 8:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±5 pts −11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.