Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3796
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 3796 · DAL → PNS
departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 10:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 3.0 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from DAL are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 3.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.