Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3796 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 3796 · DAL → PNS

departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 11:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from DAL are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.87 in

PNS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3796 · DAL → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?