Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3796
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 3796 · DAL → PNS
departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 11:25 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 36%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 63% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −25 pts in 24h
−25 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
9am departures from DAL are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 3.06 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.