Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4881
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 4881 · AUS → ABQ
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 2:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.