Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5763 · DCA → LGA
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 41%
Tue 10/6 37%
Wed 10/7 47%
Thu 10/8 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
8%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.40 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.