Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1196SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1196 · EWR → MIA
departs 5:31 AM ET · arrives 8:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
6%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.