Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1596 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 1596 · CLT → MIA

departs 10:39 PM ET · arrives 12:46 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1596 · CLT → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?