Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1775 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 1775 · CLT → SDF

departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 7:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDF?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

SDF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1775 · CLT → SDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDF?