Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2051SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2051 · DCA → LAS
departs 7:59 AM ET · arrives 10:09 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.