Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2347 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 2347 · ALB → DCA

departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,433 ft forecast at DCA that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ALB that day

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2347 · ALB → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?