tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2831 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2831 · TPA → MIA

departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 3:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.