AA 3117 · CLT → CHS

departs 4:57 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at CLT that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3117 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?