Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
B6 1413 · MVY → DCA
departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MVY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MVY is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MVY (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.11 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.