Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 23
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 23 · DCA → PBI
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.