Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 23
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 23 · DCA → PBI
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DCA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.