Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 23
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 23 · DCA → PBI
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.