Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5098 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5098 · DCA → BTV

departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 4:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

BTV (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5098 · DCA → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?