tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5173 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

OH 5173 · ECP → PHL

departs 1:17 PM CT · arrives 4:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 118h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Monday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
29% chance · ±10 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.