tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5222 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5222 · DCA → IAH

departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 10:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.