YX 5590 · HXD → LGA

departs 4:10 AM CST · arrives 6:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HXD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LGA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5590 · HXD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?