Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
YX 5590 · HXD → LGA
departs 4:07 AM CST · arrives 6:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HXD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HXD
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
HXD (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
LGA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.