Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
YX 5590 · HXD → LGA
departs 4:48 AM CST · arrives 7:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HXD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
HXD (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
LGA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.