Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5747
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
YX 5747 · DCA → LGA
departs 1:30 PM ET · arrives 2:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 36%
Thu 10/8 34%
Fri 10/9 28%
Sat 10/10 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±11 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.