Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 5768 · DCA → LGA
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 73%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 44%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±11 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Visibility down to 0.866667 mi forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,867 ft Visibility 1.33333 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,367 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.