Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5768 · DCA → LGA
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LGA that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.34 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.