Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5768 · DCA → LGA
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 54%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±2 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
25%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
DCA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.