UA 174 · GUM → GSN

departs 7:55 AM ChST · arrives 8:52 AM ACDT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at GSN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at GUM that day

↑ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 7am departures from GUM are usually not late

Weather at each end

GUM (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.81 in

GSN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 174 · GUM → GSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSN?