Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4832
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 9 Today
OO 4832 · ORD → SHD
departs 5:57 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/10 30%
Sun 10/11 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHD more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SHD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SHD?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SHD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
SHD (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.