AV 3 · MIA → BAQ

took off 2:15 PM ET · landed 3:33 PM -05 (scheduled 1:20 PM ET → 3:20 PM -05)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BAQ more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BAQ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into BAQ at that hour are usually not late

↓ BAQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BAQ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 3 · MIA → BAQ

Odds over time

How late did it get to BAQ?