tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1946 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:52 PM ET, ETA 4:19 PM AST)
Today

AA 1946 · MIA → STX

took off 1:52 PM ET · expected to land 4:19 PM AST (scheduled 1:10 PM ET → 4:11 PM AST)
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at STX more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to STX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    33%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.