Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 495 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:41 AM PT, ETA 3:43 PM CST)
Today

AM 495 · SEA → MEX

took off 9:41 AM PT · expected to land 3:43 PM CST (scheduled 9:43 AM PT → 3:55 PM CST)
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
2% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    98%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.