tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 495 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AM 495 · SEA → MEX

departs 9:40 AM PT · arrives 3:49 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.