Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 495SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 495 · SEA → MEX
departs 9:43 AM PT · arrives 3:56 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEX?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.