DL 1814 · SLC → SNA

took off 11:56 AM MT · landed 12:29 PM PT (scheduled 10:57 AM MT → 11:59 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SNA that day

↓ 10am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.50 in

SNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1814 · SLC → SNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SNA?