Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8190 LANDED 7:25 AM ET, ~69 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

JJ 8190 · GRU → MIA

took off 12:36 AM -03 · landed 7:25 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

GRU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8190 · GRU → MIA

Odds over time