Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8195 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 7:55 PM -03

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at GRU more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRU?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

↓ GRU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.87 in

GRU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRU?