MQ 3918 · ORD → GRB

took off 8:25 AM CT · expected to land 9:00 AM CT (scheduled 8:07 AM CT → 9:09 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRB?

LIVE

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Arrivals into GRB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRB (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3918 · ORD → GRB

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRB?