MQ 4313 · MIA → EIS

departs 12:23 PM ET · arrives 3:32 PM AST

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at EIS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EIS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ EIS usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into EIS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

EIS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4313 · MIA → EIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to EIS?