Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5806 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:02 AM ET (1 H 48 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

PT 5806 · CLT → CHO

departs 9:04 AM ET · arrives 10:18 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHO?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.4 in of rain forecast at CHO that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ CHO usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.95 in

CHO (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip2.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5806 · CLT → CHO

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHO?